Fans of the Tyneside club are more and more regarding the team's side as a fickle friend. On their day, they can be the very entertainers, producing breathtaking displays. But, on other occasions, once-dependable players like Sandro Tonali and others simply go missing.
Exacerbating the frustration is a late-game approach riddled with a worrying tendency of disorganization. Ahead of their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the facts tell a sobering picture: they have squandered 13 vital top-flight leverage from leading situations this season and are without a clean sheet in ten consecutive matches across all competitions. Securing three points at their famous stadium would be only their second league triumph on the travel this season.
In contrast, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their previous 6 league fixtures, and although occupying a seemingly lowly eleventh position, they are a mere six points away from the highly-prized top four. Factor in an looming two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a strong chance of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it becomes simpler to see the gaffer's measured positivity.
“We don't just have difficulties,” remarked the team's head coach. “We have assets too. The perspective here is decidedly optimistic at present. I know outside observers might have a divergent opinion, but my belief is we are improving.”
The challenge is: will this squad recapture – or even surpass – the achievements of last season's cup glory and European-qualifying finish? Balancing a congested calendar hinders.
The resulting tiredness might be the reason behind the failure to maintain a superb opening 45-minute performance against their London rivals, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 lead to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the explanation for a poor performance in a painful loss to arch-rivals Sunderland, where the side seemed off the pace just days after a tough European away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's strength, the constant schedule of two games a week matches has drastically reduced crucial training time. This slows the team's stylistic evolution to playing with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the now departed their former star. Although extremely gifted, the German forward lacks the same blistering breakaway pace or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the side's once-formidable pressing game has at times malfunctioned. Injuries to vital cog Joelinton have not helped, while big-money arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties settling since their combined £90m+ transfers.
If a switch to a three-man defense might theoretically benefit the team, a worsening backline injury crisis renders that unlikely. Important defenders will be absent for the upcoming key matches, further testing the team's resources.
When playing at their ferocious best, they look almost unplayable. The issue is sustaining that fervor for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive formation has at times proven counterproductive.
“That match became disorganized at two-all,” admitted the coach. “But we were trying to win. We always go out to win.”
What seems called for is a pragmatic solution – with better ball retention, a midfield adept of slowing the tempo, and a realistic willingness to sometimes accept a point. Yet, a ambition to challenge on every competitions is pushing finite player resources to their breaking point.
It may sound sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups in the initial stages could have eased the current schedule congestion. With vital Champions League & league games on the agenda, the imperative to carefully choose focus areas is becoming ever more apparent.
Eddie Howe recognized the size of the task remaining. “When you're at a club of this size, the expectations are enormous. Every moment's critical. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to go through in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have a great deal of work to do to become the consistently winning side we want to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The task is to reach that standard we know we're capable of. I believe that the confidence we can do that is growing. Yet nowadays we have to show it. It ain't all bad currently, but the coming period will shape a lot.”
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